2015 Polls projection!!!

PDP is projected to win in 13 states: Anambra, Ebonyi, Imo, Enugu, Abia, Delta, Bayelsa, Cross River, Akwa Ibom, Rivers, Ondo, Benue and Taraba

APC is projected to win in 16 states: Ogun, Osun, Oyo, kwara, Niger, Kaduna, Kano, Katsina, Jigawa, Kebbi, Zamfara, Sokoto, Bauchi, Gombe, Yobe and Borno.

The following states (eight) are too close to call: Edo, Lagos, Benue, Plateau, Ekiti, Nasarawa, Adamawa and I will add FCT in the list.

Going by this analysis, GMB will win the election on the following facts:

1. He is expected to record outright win in 16 states while GEJ should win outrightly in 13 states.

2. The states GMB is projected to win have more votes than GEJ's states.

3. Even if GEJ wins all the eight too-close-to-call states (Lagos&Nasarawa strongly in doubt), GMB will record at least 40% of the votes there. The win margin for GEJ (assuming he wins all of them) will be very narrow because they are states that can be won by either of them.

4. With all eight toss-up states marginally won by GEJ (big assumption), his total states won will be 19 (13+6) while GMB wins in 16 states with additional 40% to 50% in the spring states. The implication of this scenario is that GMB will record more popular votes and will have equally secured more than 25% in 2/3 of the 36 states of the federation (i.e wins in 16 states, 40%-50% in 8 states, and at least 25% in Imo, Rivers, Ondo and Taraba which are projected for GEJ's win).

Therefore, however it turns out in the too-close-to-call states, GMB will be declared the President based on more popular votes..all by the Vote of the People and the Grace of God!!!